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Employment Projections
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Occupational Projections: Summary of Evaluations

This page compares the most recent set of occupational projections evaluations with previous sets. This comparison is meant to provide an explanation of how well the BLS method works over time. The projections evaluations covered are for the 2006–16, 2004–14, and 2002–12 periods. For more information, refer to our evaluation methodology.

Measuring accuracy

How often did BLS correctly project growth and decline for occupations?

Projecting growth or decline correctly


What was the difference between the projected average growth rate and the actual average growth rate?

Projected average growth rate versus actual average growth rate


How accurate was BLS when projecting an occupation to grow faster than average when controlling for differences between projected and actual growth? That is, did occupations projected to grow faster than the projected average end up growing faster than the actual average?

Percent of occupations accurately projected to grow faster than average


Projections' Periods that have been Compared

Return to Projections Evaluation Homepage


Last Modified Date: August 1, 2018