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Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) estimates are based on a national sample of approximately 16,000 establishments. These data are used by policymakers, academics, industry experts, economists, and others to better understand the current state of the U.S. economy and to understand the dynamic activity of businesses in the economy that lead to aggregate employment changes. While the current national sample size is designed to support estimates for major industries at the national level and total nonfarm estimates at the regional level, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is currently researching the possibility of leveraging the sample to produce model-assisted estimates at the Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) total nonfarm level. These estimates are currently only available as a one-time release. The estimates are for the 18-largest MSAs, those with 1.5 million or more employees, as determined by Current Employment Statistics (CES) Metro Area Total Nonfarm (TNF) employment, see the table below. We encourage data users to review these estimates and provide feedback on both the technical aspects of the models and the usability of the resulting data.
|MSA Code||Area Title|
|Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA|
|Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX|
|Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX|
|Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA|
|Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL|
|Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI|
|New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA|
|Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA|
|San Diego-Carlsbad, CA|
|San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward, CA|
|Boston-Cambridge-Nashua, MA-NH NECTA|
These MSA research estimates are published as a historical series comprised of a benchmarked historical component (Composite Synthetic model) and a current component (Extended Composite Synthetic model) which provides monthly "real-time" estimates following lagged benchmarks.
JOLTS MSA Research Estimates Table A contains both models as a 3-month moving average. The estimates are presented as a combination of Composite Synthetic (CompSyn) and Extended Composite Synthetic (ECompSyn) estimates. More specifically, table A includes estimates from the CompSyn model from February 2001 to December 2018 and uses the ECompSyn model to extend the CompSyn model from January 2019 to December 2019.
Please note that BLS has no current plans to update these data, as they are meant to be a one-time research series. However, we encourage data users to provide feedback at email@example.com.
Both models take the following form:
The Composite Synthetic MSA industry estimate from one year ago is extended by adjusting that estimate by the ratio of the current Composite Regional model estimate to the Composite Regional model estimate from one year ago. The Extended Composite Synthetic MSA industry estimates are summed across industry to form an Extended Composite Synthetic MSA estimate.
This approach ensures that the extended composite synthetic MSA estimates reflect current JOLTS regional and industry level economic conditions.
A more complete description of both models can be found on the JOLTS MSA Research Estimates Methodology page. Some common questions and answers can be found on our Frequently Asked Questions page. For information on the experimental state estimates please visit our state estimates page.
Last Modified Date: July 31, 2020